Match Analysis

Ipswich TownvsAFC Bournemouth

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
22%
40%
Ipswich Town winDrawAFC Bournemouth win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.00
1.50Avg goals scored1.67
1.88Avg goals conceded1.51
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Ipswich Town xG

Expected goals

1.7

AFC Bournemouth xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–0

6%

Model vs Market

Polymarket · $38K volume

LIVE ODDS
Outcome
Our Model
Market
Edge
Ipswich Town
38%
5%
+33%
Draw
22%
—
—
AFC Bournemouth
40%
95%
-55%
Trade on Polymarket →

Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.

Home

Ipswich Town

Ipswich Town

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth?

AFC Bournemouth is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Ipswich Town's current form?

Ipswich Town have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Ipswich Town Win38%
Draw22%
AFC Bournemouth Win40%
BTTS67%
Over 2.566%