โšก Match Analysis

Leeds United vs Crystal Palace

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

69%
23%
8%
Leeds United winDrawCrystal Palace win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
1.51Avg goals scored1.01
1.23Avg goals conceded2.09
2โ€“1โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)1โ€“2โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Leeds United xG

Expected goals

0.9

Crystal Palace xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2โ€“0

10%

2โ€“1

9%

3โ€“0

9%

1โ€“0

8%

3โ€“1

8%

1โ€“1

7%

Home

Leeds United

Leeds United

LWDWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

WLDLD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 2 meetings

Leeds Unitedall timeCrystal Palace
1W
1D
15 Mar 26
Crystal Palace0โ€“0Leeds United
20 Dec 25
Leeds United4โ€“1Crystal Palace

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Leeds United vs Crystal Palace?

Leeds United is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Leeds United's current form?

Leeds United have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 Premier League meetings, Leeds United won 1, drew 1, and Crystal Palace won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2โ€“0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Leeds United Win69%
Draw23%
Crystal Palace Win8%
BTTS55%
Over 2.568%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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