Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Leeds United xG
Expected goals
1
Everton xG
42%
Both Teams to Score
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
13%
1–1
13%
0–0
12%
0–1
12%
1–2
7%
2–0
7%
Home
Leeds United
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.8 / 0.8
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Everton
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.1
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Leeds United vs Everton?
Leeds United is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Leeds United's current form?
Leeds United have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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