Leeds Unitedvs
Manchester United
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Leeds United xG
Expected goals
0.9
Manchester United xG
45%
Both Teams to Score
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
14%
1–1
13%
0–0
10%
2–0
10%
0–1
9%
2–1
9%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $134K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Leeds United
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.0
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Manchester United
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.4
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Leeds United vs Manchester United?
Leeds United is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Leeds United's current form?
Leeds United have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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