Leeds United vs Newcastle United
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Leeds United xG
Expected goals
1.1
Newcastle United xG
55%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1โ1
11%
1โ0
10%
2โ1
10%
2โ0
9%
0โ1
7%
0โ0
6%
Model vs Market
Polymarket ยท $10K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Leeds United
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.2
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Newcastle United
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.4
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head ยท Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Leeds United vs Newcastle United?
Leeds United is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Leeds United's current form?
Leeds United have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Premier League meetings, Leeds United won 0, drew 1, and Newcastle United won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1โ1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
โก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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