โšก Match Analysis

Liverpool vs Brentford

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

55%
20%
25%
Liverpool winDrawBrentford win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.00
1.75Avg goals scored1.26
1.65Avg goals conceded1.43
1โ€“2โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)1โ€“2โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Liverpool xG

Expected goals

1.5

Brentford xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

9%

2โ€“1

9%

2โ€“2

7%

1โ€“0

6%

1โ€“2

6%

2โ€“0

6%

Home

Liverpool

Liverpool

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Brentford

Brentford

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Liverpoolall timeBrentford
4W
1D
1W
24 May 26
Liverpool1โ€“1Brentford
25 Oct 25
Brentford3โ€“2Liverpool
18 Jan 25
Brentford0โ€“2Liverpool
25 Aug 24
Liverpool2โ€“0Brentford
17 Feb 24
Brentford1โ€“4Liverpool
12 Nov 23
Liverpool3โ€“0Brentford

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Liverpool vs Brentford?

Liverpool is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Liverpool's current form?

Liverpool have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Liverpool won 4, drew 1, and Brentford won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Liverpool Win55%
Draw20%
Brentford Win25%
BTTS68%
Over 2.570%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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