Liverpoolvs
Leeds United
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.7
Liverpool xG
Expected goals
1.2
Leeds United xG
35%
Both Teams to Score
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
18%
0–0
15%
1–1
13%
0–2
11%
1–0
10%
1–2
8%
Home
Liverpool
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Leeds United
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.0
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Liverpool vs Leeds United?
Leeds United is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Liverpool's current form?
Liverpool have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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