Match Analysis

LiverpoolvsManchester City

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

7%
15%
78%
Liverpool winDrawManchester City win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game2.60
0.96Avg goals scored2.76
1.28Avg goals conceded0.80
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Liverpool xG

Expected goals

2.4

Manchester City xG

41%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

14%

0–1

12%

0–3

11%

1–2

9%

0–4

7%

1–1

7%

Home

Liverpool

Liverpool

DWWDW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Manchester City

Manchester City

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.8 / 0.8

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Liverpool vs Manchester City?

Manchester City is favored with a 78% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Liverpool's current form?

Liverpool have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Liverpool Win7%
Draw15%
Manchester City Win78%
BTTS41%
Over 2.558%