Manchester City vs Afc Bournemouth
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.6
Manchester City xG
Expected goals
0.6
AFC Bournemouth xG
42%
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
14%
3–0
12%
1–0
11%
2–1
8%
4–0
8%
3–1
7%
Home
Manchester City
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.5
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Away
AFC Bournemouth
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.7
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester City vs Afc Bournemouth?
Manchester City is favored with a 77% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester City's current form?
Manchester City have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Manchester City won 4, drew 1, and Afc Bournemouth won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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