Match Analysis

Manchester City vs Afc Bournemouth

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

77%
14%
9%
Manchester City winDrawAFC Bournemouth win

Key Stats

3.00Points per game1.20
1.82Avg goals scored1.51
0.53Avg goals conceded1.70
5–0–0Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Manchester City xG

Expected goals

0.6

AFC Bournemouth xG

42%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

20

14%

30

12%

10

11%

21

8%

40

8%

31

7%

Home

Manchester City

Manchester City

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.5

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Away

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

DWDDL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Manchester Cityall timeAfc Bournemouth
4W
1D
1W
19 May 26
AFC Bournemouth11Manchester City
2 Nov 25
Manchester City31AFC Bournemouth
20 May 25
Manchester City31AFC Bournemouth
2 Nov 24
AFC Bournemouth21Manchester City
24 Feb 24
AFC Bournemouth01Manchester City
4 Nov 23
Manchester City61AFC Bournemouth

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Manchester City vs Afc Bournemouth?

Manchester City is favored with a 77% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Manchester City's current form?

Manchester City have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Manchester City won 4, drew 1, and Afc Bournemouth won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Manchester City Win77%
Draw14%
AFC Bournemouth Win9%
BTTS42%
Over 2.562%