Manchester City vs Aston Villa
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.9
Manchester City xG
Expected goals
1.3
Aston Villa xG
69%
Both Teams to Score
79%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2โ1
8%
3โ1
8%
1โ1
6%
2โ0
6%
3โ0
6%
4โ1
6%
Home
Manchester City
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Aston Villa
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
1.9 / 1.7
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester City vs Aston Villa?
Manchester City is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester City's current form?
Manchester City have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Manchester City won 2, drew 0, and Aston Villa won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2โ1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%.
โก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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