Manchester City vs Brighton Hove Albion
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Manchester City xG
Expected goals
1.2
Brighton & Hove Albion xG
60%
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
2–1
10%
1–0
8%
2–0
8%
3–1
7%
1–2
6%
Home
Manchester City
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.5
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Away
Brighton & Hove Albion
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
3.1 / 1.3
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester City vs Brighton Hove Albion?
Manchester City is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester City's current form?
Manchester City have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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