Manchester City vs Coventry City
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3
Manchester City xG
Expected goals
0.7
Coventry City xG
48%
Both Teams to Score
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
11%
3–0
11%
2–1
8%
3–1
8%
4–0
8%
1–0
7%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $3.0M volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Manchester City
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.2 / 0.7
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Coventry City
PPG
1.20
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester City vs Coventry City?
Manchester City is favored with a 84% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester City's current form?
Manchester City have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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