Manchester City vs Coventry City
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
Manchester City xG
Expected goals
0.5
Coventry City xG
39%
Both Teams to Score
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
12%
4–0
12%
2–0
9%
5–0
9%
3–1
6%
4–1
6%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $55K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Manchester City
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.5
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Away
Coventry City
PPG
0.60
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester City vs Coventry City?
Manchester City is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester City's current form?
Manchester City have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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