Match Analysis

Manchester CityvsFulham

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

90%
7%
3%
Manchester City winDrawFulham win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.20
2.76Avg goals scored0.97
0.80Avg goals conceded1.62
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.5

Manchester City xG

Expected goals

0.5

Fulham xG

38%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

13%

2–0

11%

4–0

11%

5–0

8%

3–1

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Manchester City

Manchester City

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.8 / 0.8

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Fulham

Fulham

DDWDL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Manchester City vs Fulham?

Manchester City is favored with a 90% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Manchester City's current form?

Manchester City have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Manchester City Win90%
Draw7%
Fulham Win3%
BTTS38%
Over 2.576%