Manchester City vs Sunderland
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.9
Manchester City xG
Expected goals
0.3
Sunderland xG
22%
Both Teams to Score
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
21%
2–0
20%
3–0
13%
0–0
11%
1–1
6%
2–1
6%
Home
Manchester City
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.5
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Away
Sunderland
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.8 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester City vs Sunderland?
Manchester City is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester City's current form?
Manchester City have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Premier League meetings, Manchester City won 1, drew 1, and Sunderland won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (21% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 22%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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