Match Analysis

Manchester United vs Afc Bournemouth

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

23%
39%
38%
Manchester United winDrawAFC Bournemouth win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.20
0.99Avg goals scored1.11
1.55Avg goals conceded1.24
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Manchester United xG

Expected goals

1.2

AFC Bournemouth xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

01

13%

11

13%

00

11%

10

11%

02

8%

12

8%

Home

Manchester United

Manchester United

LWWDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

DLDDW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Manchester Unitedall timeAfc Bournemouth
4D
2W
20 Mar 26
AFC Bournemouth22Manchester United
15 Dec 25
Manchester United44AFC Bournemouth
27 Apr 25
AFC Bournemouth11Manchester United
22 Dec 24
Manchester United03AFC Bournemouth
13 Apr 24
AFC Bournemouth22Manchester United
9 Dec 23
Manchester United03AFC Bournemouth

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Manchester United vs Afc Bournemouth?

AFC Bournemouth is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Manchester United's current form?

Manchester United have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Manchester United won 0, drew 4, and Afc Bournemouth won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Manchester United Win23%
Draw39%
AFC Bournemouth Win38%
BTTS44%
Over 2.538%

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