Manchester United vs Aston Villa
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.4
Manchester United xG
Expected goals
0.4
Aston Villa xG
30%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
18%
1–0
15%
3–0
14%
4–0
8%
2–1
7%
0–0
6%
Home
Manchester United
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Aston Villa
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.4 / 1.6
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
Manchester United is favored with a 78% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester United's current form?
Manchester United have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Manchester United won 4, drew 1, and Aston Villa won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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