Match Analysis

Manchester UnitedvsTottenham Hotspur

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

61%
25%
14%
Manchester United winDrawTottenham Hotspur win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game0.60
1.39Avg goals scored0.63
1.39Avg goals conceded1.42
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Manchester United xG

Expected goals

0.6

Tottenham Hotspur xG

36%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

18%

2–0

14%

0–0

11%

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

3–0

8%

Home

Manchester United

Manchester United

DDDLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.4

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Tottenham Hotspur

Tottenham Hotspur

DLLDD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.4

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Manchester United is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Manchester United's current form?

Manchester United have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 36%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Manchester United Win61%
Draw25%
Tottenham Hotspur Win14%
BTTS36%
Over 2.538%