โšก Match Analysis

Newcastle United vs Afc Bournemouth

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

16%
31%
53%
Newcastle United winDrawAFC Bournemouth win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.80
1.29Avg goals scored1.63
1.44Avg goals conceded0.90
2โ€“1โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)2โ€“3โ€“0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Newcastle United xG

Expected goals

1.7

AFC Bournemouth xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0โ€“1

13%

0โ€“2

11%

1โ€“1

11%

1โ€“2

10%

0โ€“0

7%

1โ€“0

7%

Home

Newcastle United

Newcastle United

LWDWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

DDWWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Newcastle Unitedall timeAfc Bournemouth
3D
3W
18 Apr 26
Newcastle United1โ€“2AFC Bournemouth
21 Sep 25
AFC Bournemouth0โ€“0Newcastle United
18 Jan 25
Newcastle United1โ€“4AFC Bournemouth
25 Aug 24
AFC Bournemouth1โ€“1Newcastle United
17 Feb 24
Newcastle United2โ€“2AFC Bournemouth
11 Nov 23
AFC Bournemouth2โ€“0Newcastle United

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Newcastle United vs Afc Bournemouth?

AFC Bournemouth is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Newcastle United's current form?

Newcastle United have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Newcastle United won 0, drew 3, and Afc Bournemouth won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0โ€“1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Newcastle United Win16%
Draw31%
AFC Bournemouth Win53%
BTTS49%
Over 2.548%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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