Newcastle Unitedvs
Arsenal
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Newcastle United xG
Expected goals
2.7
Arsenal xG
65%
Both Teams to Score
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
9%
1–3
8%
0–2
7%
0–3
7%
1–1
7%
0–1
5%
Home
Newcastle United
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.6 / 2.4
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Arsenal
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Newcastle United vs Arsenal?
Arsenal is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Newcastle United's current form?
Newcastle United have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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