Newcastle Unitedvs
Aston Villa
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.2
Newcastle United xG
Expected goals
2
Aston Villa xG
77%
Both Teams to Score
79%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
7%
1–2
7%
2–1
7%
2–2
7%
2–3
5%
3–1
5%
Home
Newcastle United
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.6 / 2.4
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Aston Villa
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.8
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Newcastle United vs Aston Villa?
Newcastle United is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Newcastle United's current form?
Newcastle United have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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