Newcastle United vs Hull City
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Newcastle United xG
Expected goals
1.9
Hull City xG
47%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
13%
0–2
12%
1–1
10%
1–2
10%
0–3
8%
0–0
7%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $38K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Newcastle United
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.6 / 2.1
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Hull City
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.2 / 0.6
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Newcastle United vs Hull City?
Hull City is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Newcastle United's current form?
Newcastle United have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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