Newcastle United vs Liverpool
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Newcastle United xG
Expected goals
2.2
Liverpool xG
62%
Both Teams to Score
66%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
10%
1–1
9%
0–2
8%
0–1
7%
1–3
7%
0–3
6%
Home
Newcastle United
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.6 / 2.1
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Liverpool
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.4 / 0.9
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Newcastle United vs Liverpool?
Liverpool is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Newcastle United's current form?
Newcastle United have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Newcastle United won 0, drew 1, and Liverpool won 5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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