Newcastle Unitedvs
Sunderland
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.6
Newcastle United xG
Expected goals
1.6
Sunderland xG
74%
Both Teams to Score
79%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
8%
3–1
7%
1–1
6%
2–2
6%
3–2
6%
1–2
5%
Home
Newcastle United
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.6 / 2.4
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Sunderland
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.9 / 2.2
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Newcastle United vs Sunderland?
Newcastle United is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Newcastle United's current form?
Newcastle United have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Premier League