Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.3
Nottingham Forest xG
Expected goals
2.6
Arsenal xG
24%
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
19%
0–3
16%
0–1
14%
0–4
10%
0–0
6%
1–2
6%
Home
Nottingham Forest
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.5
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Arsenal
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.4 / 0.1
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
Arsenal is favored with a 81% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Nottingham Forest's current form?
Nottingham Forest have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Nottingham Forest won 0, drew 2, and Arsenal won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (19% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 24%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Premier League