Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Nottingham Forest xG
Expected goals
1.3
Leeds United xG
40%
Both Teams to Score
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
16%
1–1
13%
0–0
12%
0–2
10%
1–0
10%
1–2
8%
Home
Nottingham Forest
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.0
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Leeds United
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.9
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United?
Leeds United is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Nottingham Forest's current form?
Nottingham Forest have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Premier League meetings, Nottingham Forest won 1, drew 0, and Leeds United won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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