Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.5
Nottingham Forest xG
Expected goals
1.3
Manchester City xG
29%
Both Teams to Score
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
21%
0–0
17%
0–2
14%
1–1
11%
1–0
8%
1–2
7%
Home
Nottingham Forest
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.0
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Manchester City
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.5
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
Manchester City is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Nottingham Forest's current form?
Nottingham Forest have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Nottingham Forest won 1, drew 1, and Manchester City won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (21% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 29%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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