Match Analysis

SunderlandvsBrighton & Hove Albion

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
5%
92%
Sunderland winDrawBrighton & Hove Albion win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.60
0.95Avg goals scored2.90
2.15Avg goals conceded0.67
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

Sunderland xG

Expected goals

4

Brighton & Hove Albion xG

39%

Both Teams to Score

83%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

12%

0–4

12%

0–2

9%

0–5

9%

1–3

6%

1–4

6%

Home

Sunderland

Sunderland

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton & Hove Albion

WWWWD

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.9 / 0.7

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Brighton & Hove Albion is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sunderland's current form?

Sunderland have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sunderland Win3%
Draw5%
Brighton & Hove Albion Win92%
BTTS39%
Over 2.583%