Sunderland vs Leeds United
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.6
Sunderland xG
Expected goals
1.1
Leeds United xG
30%
Both Teams to Score
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
20%
0–0
18%
1–1
12%
0–2
11%
1–0
11%
1–2
7%
Home
Sunderland
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Leeds United
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.6
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sunderland vs Leeds United?
Leeds United is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sunderland's current form?
Sunderland have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Premier League meetings, Sunderland won 1, drew 1, and Leeds United won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 24%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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