Match Analysis

Sunderland vs Leeds United

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
37%
37%
Sunderland winDrawLeeds United win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.00
1.26Avg goals scored1.05
1.47Avg goals conceded0.57
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Sunderland xG

Expected goals

1.1

Leeds United xG

30%

Both Teams to Score

24%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

01

20%

00

18%

11

12%

02

11%

10

11%

12

7%

Home

Sunderland

Sunderland

LWWDD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Leeds United

Leeds United

WWLWD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.6

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings

Sunderlandall timeLeeds United
1W
1D
3 Mar 26
Leeds United01Sunderland
28 Dec 25
Sunderland11Leeds United

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sunderland vs Leeds United?

Leeds United is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sunderland's current form?

Sunderland have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 Premier League meetings, Sunderland won 1, drew 1, and Leeds United won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 24%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Sunderland Win26%
Draw37%
Leeds United Win37%
BTTS30%
Over 2.524%

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