Match Analysis

Tottenham HotspurvsArsenal

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

11%
25%
64%
Tottenham Hotspur winDrawArsenal win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game2.00
0.63Avg goals scored1.61
1.42Avg goals conceded0.96
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

Tottenham Hotspur xG

Expected goals

1.6

Arsenal xG

31%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

20%

0–2

16%

0–0

12%

1–1

10%

0–3

8%

1–2

8%

Home

Tottenham Hotspur

Tottenham Hotspur

DLLDD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.4

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Arsenal

Arsenal

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal?

Arsenal is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Tottenham Hotspur's current form?

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Tottenham Hotspur Win11%
Draw25%
Arsenal Win64%
BTTS31%
Over 2.535%