Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.3
Tottenham Hotspur xG
Expected goals
2.6
Newcastle United xG
24%
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
19%
0–3
16%
0–1
14%
0–4
10%
0–0
6%
1–2
6%
Home
Tottenham Hotspur
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
0.3 / 2.1
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Newcastle United
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United?
Newcastle United is favored with a 82% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Tottenham Hotspur's current form?
Tottenham Hotspur have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Tottenham Hotspur won 1, drew 1, and Newcastle United won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (19% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 24%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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