โšก Match Analysis

West Ham United vs Leeds United

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
22%
40%
West Ham United winDrawLeeds United win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.40
1.26Avg goals scored1.22
1.31Avg goals conceded1.08
2โ€“0โ€“3Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)2โ€“1โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

West Ham United xG

Expected goals

1.2

Leeds United xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

13%

0โ€“1

11%

1โ€“0

11%

0โ€“0

9%

1โ€“2

8%

2โ€“1

8%

Model vs Market

Polymarket ยท $552K volume

LIVE ODDS
Outcome
Our Model
Market
Edge
West Ham United
38%
22%
+16%
Draw
22%
โ€”
โ€”
Leeds United
40%
78%
-38%
Trade on Polymarket โ†’

Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.

Home

West Ham United

West Ham United

WLLLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Leeds United

Leeds United

LWDWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 2 meetings

West Ham Unitedall timeLeeds United
1W
1W
24 May 26
West Ham United3โ€“0Leeds United
24 Oct 25
Leeds United2โ€“1West Ham United

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win West Ham United vs Leeds United?

Leeds United is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is West Ham United's current form?

West Ham United have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 Premier League meetings, West Ham United won 1, drew 0, and Leeds United won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard โ†’

Match Odds

West Ham United Win38%
Draw22%
Leeds United Win40%
BTTS49%
Over 2.543%

Find prediction markets โ†’

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

๐Ÿ“Š