Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.6
AC Milan xG
Expected goals
1.8
Atalanta xG
67%
Both Teams to Score
66%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
1–2
9%
2–1
8%
2–2
7%
0–1
6%
0–2
5%
Home
AC Milan
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.4
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Atalanta
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Ac Milan vs Atalanta?
Atalanta is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Ac Milan's current form?
Ac Milan have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Ac Milan won 0, drew 2, and Atalanta won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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