Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.2
AC Milan xG
Expected goals
2.5
Internazionale xG
82%
Both Teams to Score
85%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–2
7%
1–2
6%
2–1
6%
2–3
6%
1–1
5%
1–3
5%
Home
AC Milan
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.1
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Internazionale
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
3.3 / 1.7
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Ac Milan vs Internazionale?
Internazionale is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Ac Milan's current form?
Ac Milan have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Ac Milan won 3, drew 1, and Internazionale won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 82%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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