Ac Milan vs Lecce
🇮🇹 Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
AC Milan xG
Expected goals
1.3
Lecce xG
46%
Both Teams to Score
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
13%
1–1
13%
0–0
10%
1–0
10%
0–2
8%
1–2
8%
Home
AC Milan
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.9 / 1.6
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Lecce
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.1
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Ac Milan vs Lecce?
AC Milan is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Ac Milan's current form?
Ac Milan have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Ac Milan won 5, drew 1, and Lecce won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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