Match Analysis

AC MilanvsParma

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

84%
12%
4%
AC Milan winDrawParma win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.00
1.78Avg goals scored0.68
0.85Avg goals conceded1.81
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

AC Milan xG

Expected goals

0.4

Parma xG

31%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

17%

3–0

15%

1–0

13%

4–0

9%

2–1

7%

3–1

6%

Home

AC Milan

AC Milan

WDWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Parma

Parma

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AC Milan vs Parma?

AC Milan is favored with a 84% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AC Milan's current form?

AC Milan have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AC Milan Win84%
Draw12%
Parma Win4%
BTTS31%
Over 2.558%