Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.6
AC Milan xG
Expected goals
0.4
Parma xG
31%
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
17%
3–0
15%
1–0
13%
4–0
9%
2–1
7%
3–1
6%
Home
AC Milan
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.9
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Parma
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.7 / 1.8
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win AC Milan vs Parma?
AC Milan is favored with a 84% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is AC Milan's current form?
AC Milan have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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