Match Analysis

Ac Milan vs Venezia

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

90%
6%
4%
AC Milan winDrawVenezia win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.00
1.70Avg goals scored1.12
1.11Avg goals conceded2.85
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)0–0–5

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.7

AC Milan xG

Expected goals

0.8

Venezia xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

83%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

30

9%

40

9%

20

8%

31

8%

41

7%

21

6%

Home

AC Milan

AC Milan

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Venezia

Venezia

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.8

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings

Ac Milanall timeVenezia
2W
27 Apr 25
Venezia02AC Milan
14 Sep 24
AC Milan40Venezia

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Ac Milan vs Venezia?

AC Milan is favored with a 90% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Ac Milan's current form?

Ac Milan have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.7.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 Serie A meetings, Ac Milan won 2, drew 0, and Venezia won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

AC Milan Win90%
Draw6%
Venezia Win4%
BTTS54%
Over 2.583%