Match Analysis

AS RomavsGenoa

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

87%
10%
3%
AS Roma winDrawGenoa win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.00
1.98Avg goals scored1.01
0.50Avg goals conceded1.73
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.7

AS Roma xG

Expected goals

0.4

Genoa xG

31%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

16%

3–0

15%

1–0

12%

4–0

10%

2–1

7%

3–1

6%

Home

AS Roma

AS Roma

DDWDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Genoa

Genoa

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AS Roma vs Genoa?

AS Roma is favored with a 87% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AS Roma's current form?

AS Roma have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AS Roma Win87%
Draw10%
Genoa Win3%
BTTS31%
Over 2.560%