Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
AS Roma xG
Expected goals
0.3
Genoa xG
25%
Both Teams to Score
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
14%
4–0
14%
5–0
12%
2–0
11%
1–0
5%
3–1
4%
Home
AS Roma
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
3.4 / 0.2
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Away
Genoa
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.1 / 1.5
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win As Roma vs Genoa?
AS Roma is favored with a 84% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is As Roma's current form?
As Roma have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, As Roma won 3, drew 1, and Genoa won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Serie A