Match Analysis

AS RomavsMonza

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

92%
5%
3%
AS Roma winDrawMonza win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.40
1.98Avg goals scored1.47
0.39Avg goals conceded2.46
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.8

AS Roma xG

Expected goals

0.4

Monza xG

32%

Both Teams to Score

79%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

14%

4–0

13%

2–0

11%

5–0

10%

1–0

6%

3–1

5%

Home

AS Roma

AS Roma

DLDDW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.4

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Monza

Monza

LWLDW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AS Roma vs Monza?

AS Roma is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AS Roma's current form?

AS Roma have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 32%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AS Roma Win92%
Draw5%
Monza Win3%
BTTS32%
Over 2.579%