โšก Match Analysis

Atalanta vs Bologna

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Serie A ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
23%
36%
Atalanta winDrawBologna win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
1.18Avg goals scored1.39
1.10Avg goals conceded1.38
1โ€“2โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)2โ€“2โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Atalanta xG

Expected goals

1.3

Bologna xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

11%

1โ€“0

9%

2โ€“1

9%

0โ€“1

7%

1โ€“2

7%

2โ€“0

7%

Home

Atalanta

Atalanta

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Bologna

Bologna

DWWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Atalantaall timeBologna
2W
1D
3W
17 May 26
Atalanta0โ€“1Bologna
7 Jan 26
Bologna0โ€“2Atalanta
13 Apr 25
Atalanta2โ€“0Bologna
28 Sep 24
Bologna1โ€“1Atalanta
3 Mar 24
Atalanta1โ€“2Bologna
23 Dec 23
Bologna1โ€“0Atalanta

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Bologna?

Atalanta is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atalanta's current form?

Atalanta have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Atalanta won 2, drew 1, and Bologna won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Atalanta Win41%
Draw23%
Bologna Win36%
BTTS58%
Over 2.555%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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