Match Analysis

AtalantavsBologna

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
21%
39%
Atalanta winDrawBologna win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
2.06Avg goals scored1.69
2.16Avg goals conceded1.38
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Atalanta xG

Expected goals

1.9

Bologna xG

74%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

2–1

8%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Atalanta

Atalanta

DDLLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.1 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Bologna

Bologna

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Bologna?

Atalanta is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atalanta's current form?

Atalanta have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atalanta Win40%
Draw21%
Bologna Win39%
BTTS74%
Over 2.575%