Match Analysis

AtalantavsComo

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
23%
46%
Atalanta winDrawComo win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.40
1.62Avg goals scored1.53
1.95Avg goals conceded0.87
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Atalanta xG

Expected goals

1.7

Como xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

2–1

8%

0–2

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Atalanta

Atalanta

WDLDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Como

Como

LWWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Como?

Como is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atalanta's current form?

Atalanta have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atalanta Win31%
Draw23%
Como Win46%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%