Match Analysis

AtalantavsFrosinone

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

44%
25%
31%
Atalanta winDrawFrosinone win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.60
1.46Avg goals scored1.36
1.36Avg goals conceded1.35
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Atalanta xG

Expected goals

1.3

Frosinone xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–1

7%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

Home

Atalanta

Atalanta

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Frosinone

Frosinone

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Frosinone?

Atalanta is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atalanta's current form?

Atalanta have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atalanta Win44%
Draw25%
Frosinone Win31%
BTTS58%
Over 2.555%