Match Analysis

AtalantavsGenoa

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

69%
19%
12%
Atalanta winDrawGenoa win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.60
1.46Avg goals scored0.78
1.36Avg goals conceded1.79
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Atalanta xG

Expected goals

0.7

Genoa xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

2–0

13%

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

3–0

9%

3–1

7%

Home

Atalanta

Atalanta

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Genoa

Genoa

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Genoa?

Atalanta is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atalanta's current form?

Atalanta have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atalanta Win69%
Draw19%
Genoa Win12%
BTTS44%
Over 2.553%