Match Analysis

AtalantavsInternazionale

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

12%
13%
75%
Atalanta winDrawInternazionale win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
1.58Avg goals scored3.00
1.73Avg goals conceded1.21
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Atalanta xG

Expected goals

3.5

Internazionale xG

75%

Both Teams to Score

88%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–3

7%

1–2

6%

1–4

6%

0–3

5%

2–2

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Atalanta

Atalanta

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Internazionale

Internazionale

DLWDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

3.0 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Internazionale?

Internazionale is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atalanta's current form?

Atalanta have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 75%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atalanta Win12%
Draw13%
Internazionale Win75%
BTTS75%
Over 2.588%