Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Atalanta xG
Expected goals
0.5
Parma xG
30%
Both Teams to Score
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
21%
0–0
15%
2–0
15%
1–1
10%
0–1
7%
2–1
7%
Home
Atalanta
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.3
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Parma
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
0.6 / 1.5
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Parma?
Atalanta is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Atalanta's current form?
Atalanta have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Atalanta won 2, drew 1, and Parma won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (21% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
More from Serie A