Atalanta vs Sassuolo
🇮🇹 Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Atalanta xG
Expected goals
1.1
Sassuolo xG
52%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
1–0
11%
2–1
9%
0–1
8%
2–0
8%
0–0
7%
Home
Atalanta
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.1
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Sassuolo
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.3
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Sassuolo?
Atalanta is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Atalanta's current form?
Atalanta have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Atalanta won 2, drew 0, and Sassuolo won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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