Match Analysis

AtalantavsVenezia

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

83%
11%
6%
Atalanta winDrawVenezia win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game0.20
1.46Avg goals scored0.88
1.36Avg goals conceded2.73
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.2

Atalanta xG

Expected goals

0.8

Venezia xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

10%

2–0

9%

2–1

8%

3–1

8%

4–0

8%

1–0

6%

Home

Atalanta

Atalanta

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Venezia

Venezia

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.7

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Atalanta vs Venezia?

Atalanta is favored with a 83% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Atalanta's current form?

Atalanta have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Atalanta Win83%
Draw11%
Venezia Win6%
BTTS53%
Over 2.576%