Match Analysis

BolognavsAS Roma

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

4%
16%
80%
Bologna winDrawAS Roma win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.20
1.00Avg goals scored1.98
1.56Avg goals conceded0.39
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Bologna xG

Expected goals

2.1

AS Roma xG

23%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

20%

0–1

19%

0–3

14%

0–0

9%

0–4

7%

1–1

6%

Home

Bologna

Bologna

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

AS Roma

AS Roma

DLDDW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.4

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bologna vs AS Roma?

AS Roma is favored with a 80% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bologna's current form?

Bologna have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 23%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bologna Win4%
Draw16%
AS Roma Win80%
BTTS23%
Over 2.543%