โšก Match Analysis

Bologna vs Lazio

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Serie A ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

55%
19%
26%
Bologna winDrawLazio win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.20
1.48Avg goals scored1.25
1.34Avg goals conceded1.58
2โ€“2โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)2โ€“0โ€“3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Bologna xG

Expected goals

1.4

Lazio xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2โ€“1

9%

1โ€“1

8%

2โ€“0

7%

3โ€“1

7%

1โ€“0

6%

1โ€“2

6%

Home

Bologna

Bologna

DWWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Lazio

Lazio

WLLLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Bolognaall timeLazio
3W
1D
2W
22 Mar 26
Bologna0โ€“2Lazio
7 Dec 25
Lazio1โ€“1Bologna
16 Mar 25
Bologna5โ€“0Lazio
24 Nov 24
Lazio3โ€“0Bologna
18 Feb 24
Lazio1โ€“2Bologna
3 Nov 23
Bologna1โ€“0Lazio

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bologna vs Lazio?

Bologna is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bologna's current form?

Bologna have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Bologna won 3, drew 1, and Lazio won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2โ€“1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Bologna Win55%
Draw19%
Lazio Win26%
BTTS68%
Over 2.571%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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