Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.4
Bologna xG
Expected goals
1.4
Lazio xG
25%
Both Teams to Score
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
23%
0–0
17%
0–2
16%
1–1
9%
0–3
8%
1–0
7%
Home
Bologna
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
0.6 / 1.3
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Lazio
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.6 / 0.9
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Bologna vs Lazio?
Lazio is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Bologna's current form?
Bologna have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Bologna won 3, drew 1, and Lazio won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (23% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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