Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
Bologna xG
Expected goals
1.4
Monza xG
55%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
0–1
9%
1–0
9%
1–2
9%
2–1
8%
0–0
7%
Home
Bologna
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
0.6 / 1.3
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Monza
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.5 / 2.7
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Bologna vs Monza?
Bologna is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Bologna's current form?
Bologna have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Bologna won 2, drew 2, and Monza won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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