Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Bologna xG
Expected goals
1.8
Sassuolo xG
50%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
12%
0–2
11%
1–1
11%
1–2
10%
0–0
7%
0–3
7%
Home
Bologna
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
0.6 / 1.3
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Sassuolo
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.8
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Bologna vs Sassuolo?
Sassuolo is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Bologna's current form?
Bologna have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Bologna won 2, drew 2, and Sassuolo won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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